The match is part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup European qualifiers (Group G) and will take place on 9 October 2025. It will be played in Finland, most likely at the Helsinki Olympic Stadium.
Finland will be without some key names: goalkeeper Lukas Hradecky is out due to injury, midfielder Rasmus Schüller is injured, and centre-back Tony Miettinen is also unavailable. Jesse Joronen is expected to deputise in goal for Finland. On the Lithuania side, players such as Manfredas Ruzgis and Armandas Kučys are ruled out through injury. Furthermore, defender Edgaras Utkus has been unavailable in recent reports due to injury or suspension.
Finland’s coach, Jacob Friis, has been pushing the team toward a more positive, possession-based style. He tends to use a formation like 4-3-3, emphasizing pressing, territorial dominance, and varied attacking options. Given the missing defensive personnel, there may be rotations in defence and backup players stepping in. Lithuania, led by Edgaras Jankauskas, are expected to employ a more pragmatic setup — often a 4-2-3-1 or a compact shape that allows them to defend in numbers and strike on the counter. Set-pieces are likely to play an important role for both teams, with Finland strong in the air and Lithuania hoping to take advantage of any defensive lapses.
Most media outlets view Finland as favourites, especially given their home advantage, stronger squad, and better recent form. Some reports, however, note Finland’s defensive weaknesses, as they have struggled to keep clean sheets in their qualifying campaign. For Lithuania, the press describes them as clear underdogs but warns that they could cause problems if Finland underestimate them or lose concentration. Journalists also point out that this match could be pivotal for Finland’s qualification hopes, adding pressure to secure all three points.
Analysts in studio discussions have focused on key questions such as how Finland will organize their defense without Hradecky and whether Lithuania can maintain composure under sustained pressure. Many expect Finland to control possession and push the tempo early, looking for an opening goal to settle the match. Others believe Lithuania could frustrate the hosts by sitting deep and countering through Gvidas Gineitis in midfield. Predictions generally lean toward a Finland victory, with most analysts expecting a 1-0 or 2-0 result if they can capitalize on their chances while staying disciplined at the back.
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Watch and Download Finland vs Lithuania full match replay and highlights, At Thursday, October 09, 2025. The match played at Helsinki Olympic Stadium, in World Cup Qualifying, UEFA.
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