Estonia vs Italy

The 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier between Estonia and Italy will be played on Saturday, 11 October 2025, at the A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn. Kick-off is scheduled for the evening local time. Italy will visit Estonia in a key group fixture, with both teams looking to earn points that could influence their qualification chances.

Estonia will be without Henri Anier, who is suspended due to yellow-card accumulation. Their captain, Karol Mets, is returning from injury and is expected to bolster the defense. Aside from Anier, most of the squad is available for selection. Italy will be missing Matteo Politano and Mattia Zaccagni due to injuries. To compensate, Leonardo Spinazzola and Roberto Piccoli have been called up as replacements, leaving the rest of the squad largely intact.

Estonia’s coach, Jürgen Henn, is expected to set up a defensive and compact formation, likely 4-2-3-1, aiming to limit Italy’s attacking threats and focus on counterattacks and set pieces. Italy’s coach, Gennaro Gattuso, will likely deploy a more attacking system while using a four-man backline to maintain defensive stability. Italy’s midfield, led by players such as Sandro Tonali and Nicolò Barella, is expected to control the tempo, with forwards Moise Kean and Mateo Retegui leading the attack.

Press coverage favors Italy, noting Estonia’s struggles in scoring and recent defensive vulnerabilities. Estonian media are focusing on whether returning players like Karol Mets can improve the team’s performance and whether Estonia can produce more than just a defensive display. Italian media highlight the need for Italy to maintain their attacking fluidity despite missing key wide players, while ensuring defensive stability.

Analysts and pundits expect Italy to dominate possession and create most of the chances, though Estonia’s discipline and home support could make certain periods challenging for the visitors. Most experts predict a comfortable win for Italy, likely by a margin of three or four goals, while acknowledging that Estonia could keep the scoreline lower if they defend effectively.

Full Match

Highlights

Full Match
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Highlights
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Watch and Download Estonia vs Italy full match replay and highlights, At Saturday, October 11, 2025. The match played at A. Le Coq Arena, in World Cup Qualifying, UEFA.

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